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Friends of Air Force
Basketball gives you: PREVIEWS OF OUR 2011-2012 OPPONENTS
   
PREVIEWS OF OUR 2011-2012 OPPONENTS Previews
of our opponents for this season will be updated at I find them for the
pre-season look at who we play! I will begin with one preview of
the overall MWC, teams, players. Note this review has first and
second team pre-season players and Mike Lyons of Air Force is on the
second five...Congrats to Mike. Let's begin with looking at the
MWC from one writers point of view: THE MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE
On the heels of a season in which the Mountain West produced three
NCAA tournament bids, two top-10 teams and a player who swept the
national player of the year awards, the conference now faces a
difficult challenge. It must try to sustain some of that momentum
even though Jimmer Fredette is a Sacramento King, BYU and Utah have moved
on to new leagues and San Diego
State
is rebuilding without four starters from last season. The good
news for the Mountain West is that its top teams again will be worth
watching. New Mexico
returns four starters from last season's 22-win team and UNLV returns all
but two rotation players from a squad that reached the NCAA tournament.
What makes New Mexico a slim preseason favorite is that the Lobos boast an
emerging star in sophomore PG Kendall
Williams and the conference's best interior duo in Drew Gordon and A.J. Hardeman. If the Lobos get a more
efficient season from senior G Phillip
McDonald and find someone to step in for graduated all-conference G Dairese
Gary at the other backcourt spot, a return to the NCAA tournament is likely. UNLV's strength is its balanced scoring and its ability to force turnovers
and capitalize in transition. Fs Chace
Stanback and Mike Moser and Gs
Anthony Marshall and Oscar Bellfield are each capable of
scoring in double figures, but the Rebels must improve their 3-point shooting
and get more production from their centers.
If there's any Mountain West team capable of challenging the two preseason
favorites, it's likely San Diego State, which will have to be a more
guard-oriented team than a year ago. What propelled the Aztecs into the national consciousness last season was the
steady leadership of D.J. Gay at point guard and the length, athleticism and
rebounding ability of the front line of Kawhi Leonard, Malcolm Thomas and Billy
White. The formula will have to be different this season with LSU transfer Garrett Green the only player taller
than 6 feet 8 on the roster and with Chase Tapley and fellow guard James Rahon the only returnees who
averaged more than 8.1 minutes per game a year ago. ORDER OF FINISH 1. New Mexico 2. UNLV 3. San Diego State
4. Colorado State 5. Boise State 6. Air Force 7. TCU 8.
Wyoming
ALL-MWC FIRST TEAM F Drew
Gordon, New Mexico (6-9/245, Sr.) F Chace Stanback, UNLV (6-8/210, Sr.)
G Anthony Marshall, UNLV
(6-3/200, Jr.) G Chase Tapley,
San Diego State (6-2/200, Jr.) G Kendall Williams, New Mexico (6-3/170,
Soph.) ALL-MWC SECOND TEAM F/G Jamaal Franklin, San Diego State
(6-5/185, Soph.) F Mike Moser,
UNLV (6-8/195, Soph.) G Wes
Eikmeier, Colorado State (6-3/185, Jr.) G Michael Lyons,
Air Force (6-6/190, Jr.) G Hank
Thorns, TCU (5-9/165, Sr.)
PLAYER OF THE YEAR: New Mexico F
Drew Gordon NEWCOMER OF THE
YEAR: UNLV F Mike Moser (UCLA transfer)
FACTS AND FIGURES New coaches: Dave Rice at UNLV (had been assistant at
BYU), Larry Shyatt at Wyoming (had been
assistant at Florida) Regular-season winner last season: BYU/San
Diego State Tourney winner last season: San Diego State League
RPI rank in each of past three seasons: 4th in 2010-11, 6th in 2009-10, 7th
in 2008-09 NCAA bids the past five seasons: 13 2012 conference
tournament: March 7-10, Las Vegas
MAKING A LIST Best frontcourt: New Mexico.
Seniors Drew Gordon and A.J. Hardeman complement one another
extremely well. The athletic Gordon, who began his career at UCLA, averaged a
double-double last season; he runs the floor well, finishes adeptly around the
rim and dominates the glass. Hardeman also is a strong offensive rebounder, but
he's more of a back-to-the-basket scoring threat. Best backcourt:
UNLV. Nobody in the league has a greater plethora of perimeter weapons
than UNLV. Oscar Bellfield provides
steady leadership and outside shooting, Anthony Marshall delivers explosive
athleticism and an ability to get to the rim, and Justin Hawkins is a lockdown defender
who may be the best sixth man in the league. Add in the smooth mid-range game of
Chace Stanback, who is expected to
play mostly at wing, and it's easy to see why expectations are high for UNLV in
coach Dave Rice's first season.
Program on the rise: San Diego State. The Aztecs certainly
won't match last season's 34 wins or top-10 ranking in the wake of the departure
of four starters, but the trajectory of this program continues to climb. The
Aztecs have sold the most season tickets in school history this season, and
they'll also likely contend for an NCAA tournament berth again this winter and
be even better next season with the addition of impact transfers Dwayne Polee (St. John's)
and J.J. O'Brien (Utah).
Program on the decline: Boise State. The Broncos eventually
may flourish under second-year coach Leon
Rice, a former Gonzaga assistant, but the Broncos' first season in the
Mountain West will not be nearly as successful as last season's 22-win,
second-place finale in the WAC. Most of those players are now gone, meaning
Boise State will rely heavily on a diverse recruiting class in an effort to be
competitive next season and build a foundation for future Mountain West success.
Coach on the rise: Colorado State's Tim Miles. In his first season in Fort
Collins, the Rams went 7-25 and failed to win a single conference game. Last
season, his fourth, Miles led the Rams to a 19-13 record and an NIT berth. It
will be a challenge for the Rams to match that win total after the graduation of
Fs Andy Ogide and Travis Franklin, but expect Colorado State to remain an
upper-division Mountain West team as long as Miles is there. Coach on the
hot seat: TCU's Jim Christian.
If Christian wants to demonstrate he's the right coach to lead TCU basketball
competitive once the school joins the Big 12, he better show some major progress
this season. The Horned Frogs are 38-58 in his first three seasons as coach and
went 1-15 in league play last season, statistics that suggest the school's
administration may attempt to sell fans and recruits by making a fresh start
next spring. Most overrated player: New Mexico G Phillip McDonald. His production
last season fell short of what was expected for a guy who has started since the
opening game of his freshman season. As a junior, the 6-foot-5 wing averaged
10.9 points and 4.3 rebounds but he tailed off in the second half of conference
play and shot just 40.4 percent from the field and 32.5 percent from percent
from 3-point range on the season. Most underrated player: UNLV G
Anthony Marshall. He shot the
ball poorly from 3-point range as a sophomore last season, but he didn't get
enough credit for what he did well. He averaged 9.7 points, created
opportunities for his teammates by attacking the rim and played solid
ball-hawking perimeter defense, production that should only increase this season
as he becomes a permanent starter for the first time.
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx Out Of Conference Team previews: Team preview: Army
COACH AND PROGRAM
Ever heard of a guy named Les
Wothke?No? Well don't feel too bad. Wothke is not
exactly a household name. Wothke was the basketball coach at West Point
for nearly a decade. He was there most of the 1980s, back before the Black
Knights joined the Patriot League.When people talk about Army's basketball
history, they seldom mention Wothke's name. Most of the talk, especially where
former coaches are concerned, is about Bob Knight and Mike Krzyzewski, both of
whom started their collegiate head-coaching careers on the banks of the Hudson
River before going on to become coaching legends elsewhere.Zach Spiker might someday rank up there with
The General and Coach K in Black Knights basketball lore. For now, though, the
Cadets' third-year head coach would be mighty happy just to become the next Les
Wothke.
Army Black Knights
| Last Season |
11-19 (.367) |
| Conference Record |
3-11 (8th) |
| Starters Lost/Returning |
1/4 |
| Coach |
Zach Spiker (Ithaca '00) |
| Record At School |
25-34 (2 years) |
| Career Record |
25-34 (2 years) |
| RPI Last 5 years |
224-213-277-249-279 |
It was Wothke, back in his third season, who
last coached Army to a winning season. Since that 16-13 record in 1984-85, Army
has gone through a dry stretch that makes the Sahara seem like a watering
hole.Army hasn't had a winning season in the 26
seasons since Wothke's team did it. In 15 of those seasons they haven't even
reached double digits in wins. Make that 17 if you toss out wins over
non-Division I opponents.Joining the then non-scholarship Patriot
League in 1990 did nothing to improve the Black Knights' fortunes. In 20 seasons
in the league, Army has finished in the second division of the standings 19
times. The lone exception came in the 2008-09 season, when a 6-8 league mark was
good enough to give the Black Knights fourth place in the eight-team
conference.
No team has finished last in the Patriot more
than the nine times Army has done it. The Black Knights have also finished next
to last six times. Not only is Army the only team that has never won the league
title, it is the only team that has never even advanced to the conference
tournament final. With that historical backdrop as perspective,
you can understand how Spiker can speak of making progress last year, even
though the Black Knights' 11 wins -- three less than in his first season --
included one over Division III Vassar and six over schools who finished in the
bottom 50 of the RPI."We're changing our culture," Spiker said.
"Most of these guys have nothing to do with what happened in the
past."
PLAYERS
That culture change includes a significant
youth movement, with as many as 10 newcomers battling for a spot on a roster
that already includes six sophomores."We are going to be a very young team," Spiker
said. "I'm not afraid to play young guys if they are ready to go. If young guys
come in here and prove they are ready to play, they are going to get an
opportunity to do so."Who those young guys might be is sort of a
mystery. During the preseason, Army's roster did not list any of the incoming
freshmen. Aside from a pair of guards whom he mentioned when pressed about who
might back up junior Jason Pancoe at the point, Spiker refused to talk about
which newcomers might stick with the varsity.
Here is what Spiker does know heading into the
season: Senior guard Julian Simmons (12.5 ppg, 3.1
rpg), a 6-0 third-year starter, will be on one wing. Patriot All-Rookie team
pick Josh Herbeck (5.2 ppg, 1.9 rpg), a 6-2 sophomore who ranked third in the
league in three-point shooting percentage (.388), is the likely starter on the
other wing.
Between them will be 6-1 junior point guard
Pancoe (4.7 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.8 apg), who started 18 games there in an injury
plagued season a year ago. All three are solid three-point shooters, as
is 6-5 junior four-man Ella Ellis (14.6 ppg, 5.3 rpg), the only Black Knight to
start every game last season. As a team, Army shot 36.5 percent from the arc,
second in the league. The Black Knights's 8.8 made threes per game was tops in
the Patriot.Inside was a different story, though. Simmons
and Pancoe actually shot worse inside the arc that outside. No team in the
league shot it as poorly inside the three-point line than the undersized Black
Knights.Spiker hopes Ellis, who added some muscle in
the offseason, can help Army improve in that area."Ella was a bright spot for us last year, but
physical play inside against bigger guys wore him down as the season went on. He
has gotten stronger. Hopefully he can finish more around the rim," Spiker
said.
Junior Jordan Springer (1.9 ppg, 3.2 rpg), who
started the first 19 games last season before moving to the bench, is the
leading candidate for the fifth starting spot. At 6-5 and 207 pounds, Springer
is woefully undersized for a post, even in the Patriot League. But Spiker
doesn't have a lot of options. Not including any of its mystery freshmen, Army
has only one player taller than 6-7 on the roster. That player, 6-10 sophomore Brian Hornstein
(1.5 ppg, 1.5 rpg), has some skills and the "potential to help us," Spiker said.
But he is probably going to need to add to his 204-pound string bean frame for
that to happen. Senior Josh Johnson (0.8 ppg, 1.2 rpg), a 6-5
forward who saw limited time in 20 games last season after spending his first
two years at West Point with the junior varsity, will get a chance to increase
his minutes. Pat Harris (0.5 ppg, 0.5 rpg), the 6-5 senior
son of former Army coach Pat Harris, and 6-7 sophomore Andrew Stire (0.7 ppg,
1.4 rpg) will also have a chance to compete for minutes in the
frontcourt.
There is a little more experienced depth in
the backcourt, though that is a dubious distinction.
Chris Welker (2.2 ppg, 1.4 rpg), a 6-3
sophomore who saw minutes in every game as a freshman, will challenge for a spot
on the wing. Cartavious Kincade (1.5 ppg, 1.5 rpg), a 6-2 sophomore, played in
22 games last season, with his minutes increasing significantly late in the
season and 5-11 sophomore shooting guard Alex Godette (2.3 ppg, 0.7 rpg) will
also compete for minutes in Spiker's backcourt rotation. Pancoe is the only true point guard with any
experience. Spiker said 6-1 freshman Max Lenox, and 6-0 transfer Aaron Deister
are two newcomers who could see minutes backing Pancoe. Lenox, who originally signed with George
Washington spent last season prepping at Fork Union (Va.) Military Academy after
he was granted a release from his letter of intent after Karl Hobbs left
GW. Deister, who played his high school ball at
Dayton (Ohio) Christian, transferred to West Point from Concordia, an NAIA
power, where he did not see any game action as a freshman in the 2009-10
season.
BLUE RIBBON ANALYSIS
BACKCOURT: C+ BENCH/DEPTH:
D FRONTCOURT: C INTANGIBLES: C
With a relatively weak schedule, it is
possible Army will improve on last season's 11 wins. Five of the Black Knights'
non-conference foes had RPIs of 300 or higher last season. Air Force (114) and
Central Connecticut (147) are the only non-league foes who finished in the RPI
top 150.But history has shown even in seasons where it
had relative success out of conference, Army has still struggled in the Patriot
League. Take Spiker's first season at West Point as an
example. Against a similarly lackluster non-conference schedule, the Black
Knights won nine games against non-conference Division I foes. They still went
4-10 in conference play, finishing in what has become Army's customary spot at
the bottom of the Patriot League heap. With almost every other team in the league
returning most of its key players, its tough to see this inexperienced,
undersized bunch doing a whole lot better in terms of wins and
losses.
The saving grace this season might be that
Navy is just as small and just as inexperienced. Sweeping the season series with
the archival Midshipmen -- something Army has not done in 19 years, would
probably go a long way toward ensuring a finish ahead of Navy in the standings
-- something that has only happened four times in that same span. That is a fairly modest goal. It is also a
realistic challenge. Spiker doesn't say much about wins and losses
when he talks about his goals for the season. Right now he is concentrating on
more simple aspirations."We want to get better. Not every year, but
every day," Spiker said. "If we can do that, we will like the results.
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
The
Citadel Basketball team officially opened the 2011-12
season following the first practice with Head Coach Chuck Driesell on Friday
evening. The squad features eight newcomers, two juniors, two sophomores and one
senior that will look to fill the scoring void left vacated by the likes of
Cameron Wells, Zach Urbanus and Austin Dahn. driesell's team will be anchored by center mike groselle, who is the lone
bulldog on the current roster to score more than 75 points last season. his 6-8
frame will be key as the citadel looks to replace 76.9 percent (1,575 points) of
its scoring from 2010-11. groselle, a native of plano, texas, eclipsed the
double-digit plateau on 23 separate occasions, including eight double-doubles,
tying him with craig burgess for third most single-season double-doubles in
program history. "it was a very good first practice," said driesell. "we had a lot of energy
out there today. we did go through a little bit of a learning curve, which is
expected when you have eight freshmen and inexperienced players. but their
energy was good and their attitude was great and we had a very positive start to
the season today."
early returns for groselle: mike groselle, the bulldogs top
returning scorer (358 points) and rebounder (198 rebounds) from a
season ago was named preseason socon all-conference by
collegesportsmadness.com, released earlier this month. he opens the
season as the citadel's career field goal percentage leader, converting
161-of-266 (60.5%) field goals over the course of his career. groselle
will also look to extend his string of six straight games in double
figures that dates back to feb. 14, 2011.looking to rebound: the player
who bears the burden of leading the citadel's group of freshmen
arrivals is lone senior cosmo morabbi. the 6-2, 181-pound shooting
guard was limited to 16 games last season after suffering a broken
finger. as a sophomore, the beverly hills, calif. native connected on
25-of-66 3-pointers to move himself into 31st place among the school's
all-time 3-point leaders. he was especially productive down the
stretch, hitting 9-25 from beyond the arc in in conference action.
who are these kids?: prior to the beginning of the summer,
citadel head basketball coach chuck driesell completed his 2011
recruiting class when he announced the signing of ashton moore to a
national-letter of intent. the commitment completed the makeup the
bulldogs 2011-12 freshmen class.the eight athletes, signed by driesell
and his staff, hail from seven different states, including georgia,
michigan, new mexico, north carolina (2), south carolina, texas and
virginia.the following is a brief look at their high school accolades: 2011 Citadel Basketball Freshmen
C.J. Bray, 6-7 • 249 lbs.( James Island HS; Charleston , S.C. ; ESPN
Positional Rank: 130)• Earned All-Region honors while averaging 18
points and 10 rebounds per game as a senior
Marshall Harris, III, 5-10 • 175 lbs.(William H. Taft HS; San
Antonio, Texas; ESPN Positional Rank: 106)• After his team reached the
Final Four of the Texas Basketball State 5A, Harris garnered nomination
to the 2010-11 McDonald's All-America Team
P.J. Horgan, 6-8 • 209 lbs.(Cleveland HS; Rio Rancho, N.M.; ESPN
Positional Rank: 144)• Averaged 20.6 points per game and ranked second
in the state of New Mexico in scoring as a senior
Michael Hundley, 6-9 • 178 lbs.(Renaissance HS; Detroit , Mich. ;
ESPN Positional Rank: 67)• Led the city of Detroit in blocked shots
(133) during the 2009-10 season
Lawrence Miller, 6-1 • 186 lbs.(United Faith Christian Academy; Charlotte, N.C.; ESPN Positional Rank:
121)• Led United Faith Christian Academy to the North Carolina Independent
Schools Athletic Association (NCISAA) State Championship in the 2008-09 and
2009-10 seasons and runner-up honors in 2010-11
Ashton Moore, 6-0 • 168 lbs.(Nansemond River HS; Suffolk, Va.; ESPN
Positional Rank: N/A)• As a senior was tabbed as a member of First Team
All-City, First Team All-District, Eastern Region All-Region team,
First Team All-Tidewater and Southeastern District Player of the Year
Jordan Robertson, 6-7 • 232 lbs.(Greensboro Day School; Greensboro,
N.C.; ESPN Positional Rank: 67)• Comes from a highly-acclaimed private
school program, Greensboro Day School, which has won at least 20 games
in each of the last five seasons, including a 30-4 record during his
freshman season
Dylen Setzekorn, 6-7 • 189 lbs.(The Hun School of Princeton (N.J.); Gainesville, Ga ; ESPN Positional Rank:
N/A)• Finished with 709 points (16.1 ppg.) and 374 rebounds (6.4 rpg.), while
connecting on 57 percent of field goal attempts at Riverside Military
Academy xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxColorado Buffaloes 2010-11: 24-14, 8-8 2010-11 postseason: NIT Coach: Tad Boyle (24-14 at Colorado, 80-80 overall)
Coach
Tad Boyle did a nice job with the talented team he inherited in
2010-2011. Colorado could have, or perhaps should have, made the NCAA
Tournament during their last run in the Big 12. Heading into the
Pac-12, this team will have a little reloading to do, but there were
some talented players on the bench and Coach Boyle continues to bring
in quality recruits. One of those emerging stars is Andre Robertson.
The 6-7 wing never started a game last year, but managed to average 6.7
points and 7.8 rebounds. He even led the team in steals. With more
opportunities available, Roberson should be in for a huge year and will
be one of many players who step up and emerge as leaders on the floor.
Who’s Out: And
there certainly is a need for new leaders with the departure of the
Buffaloes top four scorers. Alec Burks was a superstar who could do it
all. He led the team with 20.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 2.9 assists.
Replacing him alone would be tough. But add the rest of the starting
backcourt to the list in all-around scorer Cory Higgins and
sharpshooter Levi Knutson, and this backcourt has a ton of rebuilding
to do. Forward Marcus Relphorde is also gone after averaging 11.2
points and 43 rebounds last season.
Who’s In: Coach
Boyle is bringing in some good freshmen, but it is the players with a
little more experience who highlight the group of newcomers. Two years
ago Carlon Brown led Utah with 12.6 points per game. The 6-5 wing is a
fine rebounder and a quality all-around scorer. He should step right
into a starting role. Junior college transfer Jeremy Adams spent just
one year at Navarro College, but does have a little more experience
than some of the other newcomers. Another 6-5 wing, the explosive
scoring Adams will give Colorado some much needed depth on the wings.
Point guard Spencer Dinwiddie has the best chance of the incoming
freshmen guards to make an impact right away. He will just be a backup
for now, but he was a nice pickup for Colorado and will be the point
guard of the future and can play off the ball in the meantime. Sabatino
Chen, a transfer from Denver, and Askia Booker will add even more depth
to the backcourt. Perhaps the best incoming freshman is power forward
Damiene Cain. At 6-7, Cain is a versatile scorer who is a surprisingly
good passer for his size. He is a good rebounder and shot blocker and
should immediately help out from the bench this year.
Who to Watch: Austin
Dufault is one of two returning starters. The 6-9 senior has been a
staple in the starting lineup over the last three years and will be
looked to as a leader on the floor. He is an efficient scorer around
the basket, but never really had to score too much. That may change
this year. After tallying 6.6 points and 4.2 rebounds per contest in
2010-2011, the Buffaloes will need Dufault to emerge as a more
consistent interior scorer during his senior season. The return of
Shane Harris-Tunks will provide the frontcourt with some more options.
Harris-Tunks missed last season with a torn ACL, but showed some
promise during his freshman campaign two years ago, mostly on the
defensive end. At 6-11 and 250 pounds, Harris-Tunks is the big-bodied
center on this team. If he can step up his game and stay healthy, it
may allow Roberson to play at his natural small forward position on
occasion instead of having to move him to the four spot due to lack of
other options.
Final Projection: Sophomore
Shannon Sharpe has paid his dues and is ready to take over the point
guard duties. He is an explosive athlete and a great playmaker who has
been stuck down the bench. He is not a shooter and probably should stop
pretending that he is, but as long as he takes care of the ball and
finds his teammates, he will be doing his job. And that is a job that
he can do. Nate Tomlinson started 29 games last season and will be
asked to shoulder a large scoring load this year. Tomlinson is a fine
outside shooter. In years past he did not really need to shoot much.
That will not be the case this time around. If Sharpe can run the point
effectively and Tomlinson is ready to score ten points per game, this
backcourt will be in decent shape despite all the losses. This is not
an NCAA Tournament team, but it is a team that has more talent than
many are giving them credit for and a return trip to the NIT is
certainly a possibility.
Projected Postseason Tournament: NIT
Projected Starting Five: Shannon Sharpe, Sophomore, Guard, 2.1 points per game Nate Tomlinson, Senior, Guard, 3.1 points per game Carlon Brown, Senior, Guard, DNP last season Andre Roberson, Sophomore, Guard, 6.7 points per game Austin Dufault, Senior, Forward, 6.6 points per game
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxGONZAGA Gonzaga had to hit rock bottom last
season before making a late run – aided by St. Mary’s slump -- to earn a share
of its 11th straight conference title. And despite the loss of its best
player (Steven Gray) and the addition of BYU to the WCC, the Zags are favored to
win it again. It’s getting more and more difficult for Gonzaga to dominate
the WCC, what with St. Mary’s having established itself as a perennial
contender, and San Francisco and Santa Clara becoming threats, not to mention
the added competition from BYU. But if the Zags could manage to keep their
streak of consecutive titles alive last season, despite being 2½ game out of the
lead with four games left, there should be no doubters that they can do it
again. Gonzaga returns three starters, and its talented five-man freshman
class, featuring guards Gary Bell Jr. and Kevin Pangos, is by far the best
recruiting class in the conference. And that does not include the fact that
redshirt sophomore G David Stockton, senior G Marquise Carter and sophomore F
Sam Dower all played much better toward the end of their first season of college
competition last year. Despite the losses of Gray, the leading scorer at 13.9
ppg, and Demetri Goodson, who transferred to Baylor to play football, there is
every reason to believe the Zags will be better than last season. C Robert
Sacre is the best big man in the conference, and Elias Harris, who looked like
an NBA first-rounder as a freshman, figures to have a bounce back junior season
after a disappointing sophomore year. Stockton seems primed to take over the
point guard spot, and there is more than enough talent to fill in every
conceivable void. Other than Harris, the Zags don’t have outstanding athletes
blowing by everyone, but you can count on them being an outstanding defensive
team, as they are every year, and, despite the loss of Gray, they should be a
good outside shooting team once again. As usual, the brutal nonconference
schedule will toughened them for whatever they’ll meet in the WCC and give them
some national exposure. Anything less than a 14th consecutive trip to the
NCAA Tournament will be a major disappointment.
NOTES --Gonzaga’s streak of 13 consecutive NCAA Tournament appearances is
the fourth longest active streak, behind Kansas (22), Duke (16) and Michigan
State (14). Its streak of 11 straight conference titles is the longest
current such streak and the second longest in history, behind only UCLA’s 13 in
a row from 1967 to 1979. -- Gonzaga was just 3-3 in the WCC at one point last
season, having lost three straight conference games for the first time since
1996 after its home loss to St. Mary’s, which was unbeaten in the WCC at the
time. The Zags’ run of WCC titles and NCAA Tournament berths seemed to be at
an end. But they rallied to tie for the regular-season title, win the conference
tournament and upset No. 6 seed St. John’s in the first round of the NCAA
Tournament. ---The annual rumors that Mark Few would be headed elsewhere have
quieted in recent years. He enters his 13th season at Gonzaga, and he seems
settled there for the long haul. At this point, it’s difficult to imagine a
program he would leave Gonzaga for. --- The Zags were ranked No. 23 in the
coaches preseason poll, and their schedule again is brutal, with nonconference
games against Xavier, Michigan State, Arizona, Butler, Illinois and Notre
Dame LAST YEAR: 25-10 overall, 11-3 in the WCC HEAD COACH: Mark Few, 13th
year as head coach (315-83 at Gonzaga 315-83 career) QUOTE: “When it’s all
said and done, I think it’ll be the highest-rated schedule we’ve ever had.” –
Gonzaga coach Mark Few, to the Spokane Spokesman-Review, despite having some
very tough nonconference schedules in the past. PROBABLE STARTING LINEUP: PG
David Stockton, SG Marquise Carter, SF Elias Harris, PF Sam Dower, C Robert
Sacre LINEUP BREAKDOWN: The starting five might not have quite the star
power and scoring potential of some Gonzaga teams of the past, but they are
solid, and should get better as Stockton, Carter and Dower all improved late
last season. Dower and Sacre provide an almost unstoppable low-post presence,
and Harris has a chance to be the best player in the conference after an so-so
sophomore season. Gonzaga will have more depth than it has had in recent
years with 7-foot Kelly Olynyk and a slew of freshmen – most notably Gary Bell
Jr. and Kevin Pangos – coming off the bench. One or two of those freshmen could
even break into the starting five. The key is Stockton. If he continues the
improvement he showed late last season and shows he can hit the outside shot,
the Zags will have something special. SCOUTING THE NEWCOMERS The Bulldogs
have six newcomers, including five true freshmen, and all of them could see
playing time, although it seems inevitable that at least one or two of them will
redshirt. G Gary Bell Jr., who can do virtually anything on the court, is a
good bet to be WCC freshman of the year, although Kevin Pangos, already a solid
point guard who seldom makes a mistake, may challenge him. Kyle Drainginis is
a good shooter who figures to play too, while Chris Sarbaugh and Ryan Spangler
may have to wait their turn. The wild card is junior college transfer Guy
Landry Edi. ROSTER REPORT: --Freshman Chris Sarbaugh had knee surgery in
July that kept him off the court awhile, and although he is practicing, he’s a
candidate to redshirt. ---Junior Guy Landry Edi was working through knee
problems as preseason practice began. It did not require surgery but limited his
participation in practice. ---Manny Arop, who received significant playing
time last season, transferred to Indiana State in the offseason. xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
SANTA CLARA When September began, everything
seemed to be lining up nicely for Santa Clara to make a run at a conference
title. The Broncos were coming off a season in which they had beaten Gonzaga
at home, then won a postseason tournament. It was only the CollegeInsiders.com
Postseason tournament, which is hardly the most prestigious event around, but
the Broncos had beaten some good teams, the last three wins coming on the road,
including a victory over San Francisco. Coach Kerry Keating had signed a new
contract in April, so he seemed settled. There had been no offseason drama as
there had been in past years when players transferred, and though it lost two
starters, Santa Clara returned the three key components of the team –
fourth-year junior G Kevin Foster, sophomore PG Evan Roquemore and senior F Marc
Trasolini – were back. In Foster, the Broncos had, quite simply, the best
returning player in the conference. He led the WCC in scoring (20.2 ppg) and
might have been WCC player of the year last season if the Broncos had finished
higher than fourth. And he was great in the postseason. Roquemore improved
throughout the season as a freshman point guard and had already shown he had the
talent and the nerve to be a quality lead guard. And Trasolini was the inside
complement to the two guards, a player who could collect a lot of rebounds,
score inside, yet also venture to the perimeter and score if need be. Three
of the four key reserves – John McArthur, Niyi Harrison and Raymond Cowells III
– were back, and large freshman class might help, especially 6-9 Robert
Garrett. With a trip to Canada coming up, the Broncos could get an early
start on competition, plus some extra practices. But in the first game of
that Canada tour, Trasolini tore his anterior-cruciate ligament and was lost for
the season, robbing the Broncos of their leading rebounder and No. 2 scorer from
last season. The Broncos will still be good, but without Trasolini, they went
from being a team likely to finish third or fourth to one that should be picked
to finish fifth. Unless McArthur or Garrett makes rapid strides to provide an
inside presence, the Broncos will be even more perimeter-oriented than they were
last season. Foster can carry the team quite a ways, but he may not be able
to get the team to the level of St. Mary’s or Gonzaga – or maybe not to the
level of BYU or improving San Francisco -- without Trasolini. NOTES ---
Part of the reason Santa Clara picked the Vancouver, British Columbia, area as
its summer tour destination is because Marc Trasolini is from Vancouver. But two
minutes into the first exhibition game of the tour, Trasolini tore his
anterior-cruciate ligament. Two days after the injury the team had dinner at
Trasolini’s parents’ house in Vancouver. Trasolini, a senior, will be able to
return to play next season while he takes graduate courses, and with Kevin
Foster and Evan Roquemore both having eligibility remaining next season, the
Broncos could be a contender in 2012-2013. --- In July, Kerry Keating signed
a two-year contract extension that takes him through the 2014-2015
season. --- Santa Clara won its final three games of the CollegeInsider.com
postseason tournament on the road in three different parts of the country. In
the quarterfinals, it won at San Francisco, a team that had defeated the Broncos
twice during the regular season. In the semifinals, Santa Clara won at SMU,
although an injury to the Mustangs’ best player, Papa Dia, hurt SMU. The Broncos
won at Iona in the finals. Kevin Foster averaged 25.4 points in the five-game
tournament, including 36 against Air Force and 35 against SMU. ---Santa Clara
led the country in free throws made last season, with 250. LAST YEAR: 24-14
overall, 8-6 in the WCC HEAD COACH: Kerry Keating, fifth year as head coach
(66-68 at Santa Clara; 66-68 career) QUOTE: "We’re going to have at least one
or two of our underclassmen be pretty consistent in our top rotation.” – Santa
Clara coach Kerry Keating, on the team’s dependence on its six scholarship
freshmen and redshirt freshmen. PROBABLE STARTING LINEUP: PG Evan Roquemore,
SG Kevin Foster, SF Raymond Cowels III, PF Niyi Harrison, C John
McArthur. LINEUP BREAKDOWN: The Broncos know Roquemore and Foster can
score, and the addition of Cowels in what would be a three-guard lineup gives
the Broncos three players willing and able to hit three-pointers. The key may
be the play of McArthur. He is the one likely to take Marc Trasolini’s spot in
the starting lineup, and he improved late last season, and is capable of being a
consistent rebounder. Harrison is an athletic player with potential that has
not yet surfaced. Freshmen will be in the rotation, and one or two might be
starting before the season is over. C Robert Garrett figures to get playing
time, especially with Trasolini out, and Brandon Clark may be the first guard
off the bench. Rebounding could be a concern, which is why Yannick Atanga, a
redshirt freshman, may see playing time. SCOUTING THE NEWCOMERS: The
Broncos have eight freshmen on the roster, two of whom are walk-ons. True
freshmen Robert Garrett, a 7-footer, and G Brandon Clark figure to be the most
important of the bunch. Garrett is already an accomplished rebounder, and
could be a top-notch defender eventually. He is expected to play a lot from the
start, as is Clark, a point guard who showed on the Canada trip he can score. He
will get more playing time than expected, and may be the first guard off the
bench. Denzel Johnson is a combo guard who might help, and 6-8 G Karim York
is intriguing because of his height and versatility. He could fill several
roles, although it may take Kerry Keating some time to figure out how to utilize
him. Redshirt freshman Julian Clarke will earn playing time as an outside
shooter, and the other redshirt freshman, Yannick Atanga, provides needed
rebounding. ROSTER REPORT: --- Chris Caird signed with Santa Clara in June
after one season at Marshalltown Community College, but he tore his anterior
cruciate ligament after signing and is not on the roster. --- Kevin Foster
led the nation in three-point field goals made, with 140, which was the ninth
highest total in history. --- Freshman walk-on G Nick Lamson is the son of
former Santa Clara player Scott Lamson. --- Redshirt freshman Julian Clarke
was a member of the Canadian Under-19 national team during the summer. Conference Team previews Boise State Broncos
Overall Rank: #105 Conference Rank: #5 Mountain West 2010-11: 22-13, 10-6 2010-11 postseason: CBI Coach: Leon Rice (22-13 at Boise State, 22-13 overall)
Coach
Leon Rice has a lot to think about. After a surprising opening
campaign, the expectations are growing for Boise State as they enter
the Mountain West. However, this is not the same team the Broncos
sported last season. Gone are the top four scorers and in steps a huge
group of newcomers. Guards Tre Nichols and Westly Perryman are the only
seniors on the roster. Both can run the point, but both will also be
tested by the newcomers early and often. Nichols is a pure point guard
who did not particularly impress during his first year out of the
junior college ranks via Texas State. Perryman is a better scorer, but
it is his defense that will make it very hard for Coach Rice to take
him out of the lineup. If the newcomers can follow Perryman’s lead and
play intense basketball, this will be a dangerous team by March.
Who’s Out: Coach
Rice did a great job last year, but the players deserve some credit too
and most of the players who made the 2010-2011 season a success are
gone. In fact, Perryman is the only player returning who averaged over
18 minutes per game last season. La’Shard Anderson led the way by
scoring 15.1 points per game. Forwards Robert Arnold, Daequon Montreal
and Paul Noonan were all very productive players who could score inside
and outside. Without them, the frontcourt needs a complete overhaul.
Even center Zach Moritz is gone and that leaves very few experienced
options.
Who’s In: Kenny
Buckner may be the most important newcomer of them all…and there are a
lot of them. Buckner, a 6-9, 245 pound center spent some time in the
junior college ranks and has the size and experience to be a major
presence in the paint. He does not need to score, and he is not a
particularly good scorer, but he should be able to grab some rebounds
and block some shots. Jarrell Crayton is another junior college
transfer who has enough size to fill in at the four spot. His
experience should get him plenty of playing time. Incoming freshman
Darrious Hamilton may need some time to develop his game, but is a
talented big man who could be a surprise contributor right away. A
couple Australians will be given every opportunity to make a major
contribution. Combo guard Igor Hadziomerovic can handle the ball and
score plenty when he is off the ball. Small forward Anthony Drmic is a
superb slasher and a quality shooter. Both of them could be very strong
players right away. Drew Wiley, a transfer from Oregon, has the
experience to make a huge impact. He is a good shooter, something this
team needs, and should vie for a starting role right away. Point guard
Michael Thompson, shooting guard Derrick Marks and pure shooter Joe
Hanstad may be the least prepared of all the newcomers, but there are
opportunities to go around if they can step up.
Who to Watch: Perryman
and Nichols are not the only returning players. Sophomores Thomas
Bropleh, Jeff Elorriaga and Ryan Watkins all played significant roles
as freshmen. Bropleh is a quality outside shooter and he should have
the opportunity to show off that skill a little more often in
2011-2012. He also has the size to attack the basket. Elorriaga started
11 games last season and is pretty much a pure shooter. Watkins, a 6-8
forward, made the biggest impact last season and will likely do so
again. He only averaged 14.0 minutes per game, but he averaged 5.7
points and 3.5 rebounds. Now that he will be on the floor more often,
assuming he can stay out of foul trouble, those numbers should increase
significantly.
Final Projection: It
will take time, but this team is pretty good. Coach Rice has already
proven that he can get the job done and there is little reason to think
that the group of newcomers cannot have a positive effect just like the
group last year did. And there is little reason to think the freshmen
of a year ago will not improve. This group is already nearly all of
Coach Rice’s recruits and they are ready to run his system. The change
to the Mountain West will not make it easy, but this team has the
potential to make some noise in their new conference.
Projected Postseason Tournament: CBI/CIT
Projected Starting Five: Tre Nichols, Senior, Guard, 4.0 points per game Westley Perryman, Senior, Guard, 6.1 points per game Drew Wiley, Junior, Guard, DNP last season Ryan Watkins, Sophomore, Forward, 5.7 points per game Kenny Buckner, Junior, Center, DNP last season xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx Colorado State Rams
Overall Rank: #61 Conference Rank: #3 Mountain West 2010-11: 19-13, 9-7 2010-11 Postseason: NIT Coach: Tim Miles (51-76 at Colorado State, 267-216 overall)
Coach
Tim Miles took over a bad program in 2007. During his first season with
Colorado State the team went 0-16 in conference play. Two years later
they were in the CBI. Last year they stepped up to the NIT. This year
the Rams may lack the experience and firepower to take the next step to
the NCAA Tournament, but they should not take much of a step backwards
either. The NCAA Tournament trip will come in 2013, but reaching the
NIT again in 2012 will keep this group moving in the right direction.
Who’s Out: The
hope for taking another step up in the postseason pecking order is
dampened by the departure of the starting frontcourt duo of Andy Ogide
and Travis Franklin. Ogide was an extremely efficient big man who led
the team with 17.2 points and 7.7 rebounds per game. Replacing that
production will not be easy. Franklin was the only other Ram to average
double digit scoring in 2010-2011. He was not a great rebounder, but
that job was usually left to Ogide anyway. To make matters worse, the
frontcourt also lost Andre McFarland, who started eight games last
year. McFarland never played too much, but he was a nice guy to have
available every once in a while. The big loss on the perimeter is Adam
Nigon. The sharpshooter rarely went inside the arc, but he connected on
41.2 percent of his attempts from long range and no one else on the
team could shoot with that much consistency.
Who’s In: The
important newcomer was at CSU last season. Chad Calcaterra, a 6-10, 250
pound center, redshirted last season to gain strength and experience.
He did just that. His lack of playing experience at this level may lead
to some growing pains, but Calcaterra is a fine athlete with skills one
would not expect from a 6-10, 250 pound center. He may be asked to step
into a starting spot right away and he can do plenty of scoring and
rebounding under the basket. The Rams may need to be patient with him
early in the 2011-2012 campaign, but Calcaterra could turn into a
superb player by the end of his freshman campaign. The only true
freshman heading into the program is Cody Mann. The 6-0 point guard
will likely be the primary backup from day one and the quicker he can
adjust to the style of play, the more minutes he will see.
Who to Watch: The
talent on the perimeter will carry the Rams into the postseason. It
starts with point guard Dorian Green. The 6-2 junior is a fine ball
handler and a capable scorer around the basket. Green is even a pretty
good rebounder for a point guard and that skill may be much more
important this season while the frontcourt is being revamped. Green
averaged 7.1 points per game last season, but could turn into a dynamic
scorer if he can hit the long ball with more consistency. Wes Eikmeier
is also back and ready to return to a starting role. Eikmeier should
emerge as the Rams go-to-scorer after averaging 9.1 points per game
during his sophomore season. He is a fine outside shooter, but can also
use his 6-3 frame to attack the basket. Jesse Carr, yet another junior,
should see an increase in playing time and could even find himself
starting if Coach Miles wants to play small. Sophomore Dwight Smith
will also be in the regular rotation after a promising freshman
campaign.
Final Projection: Surprisingly
the cupboard is not totally bare in the frontcourt. Forwards Pierce
Hornung, Greg Smith and Will Bell all have significant experience under
their belts. Hornung averaged over 20 minutes per game last season.
However, he is just 6-5 and will have trouble defending opposing power
forwards. He does have the quickness to play the three spot and that is
where he will likely start. Hornung is not much of a scorer, but he is
a superb rebounder. Greg Smith has a little more size and should fit in
nicely at the power forward spot. He started a dozen games a year ago
and proved to be a capable interior scorer. He will need to step up his
game and become a double digit scorer if Colorado State hopes to take
the next step this year. Will Bell is a big-bodied senior who usually
comes in and eats up some fouls. He is not a bad scorer or rebounder,
but Bell will mostly be used for his size, especially if Calcaterra is
not ready for the big stage.
Projected Postseason Tournament: NIT
Projected Starting Five: Dorian Green, Junior, Guard, 7.1 points per game Wes Eikmeier, Junior, Guard, 9.1 points per game Pierce Hornung, Junior, Forward, 4.3 points per game Greg Smith, Junior, Forward, 6.3 points per game Chad Calcaterra, Freshman, Center, DNP last season xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
New Mexico
Lobos
2010-11:
22-13, 8-8 2010-11
postseason: NIT Coach: Steve Alford (98-39
at New Mexico, 406-222 overall)
New Mexico struggled in Mountain West
Conference play, ending with an 8-8 record. The result was a trip to the NIT and
a team that just could not keep up with the likes of BYU, San Diego State and
UNLV. But the Lobos have the talent to go from the middle of the pack to the top
in 2011-2012. Drew Gordon, last year’s conference newcomer of the year after
transferring from UCLA, is back to dominate the competition. The 6-9 senior
averaged 13.0 points, 10.5 rebounds and 1.3 blocks. A year in the system should
only make him better and as long as the rest of the team knows to work through
their big man in the paint, New Mexico’s offense will be tough to
stop.
Who’s
Out: The loss of
Dairese Gary is a concern. He led the team with 14.1 points and 5.5 assists
during his senior season. Gary was the catalyst on both ends of the floor and,
on a team that often went 11 deep, he rarely spent time on the bench. However,
there are some quality players ready to step up and fill the void. The only
other losses are Emmanuel Negedu and Curtis Dennis. Both were decent
role-players when available, but they each appeared in a mere ten games, so
their absence is nothing new to Coach Steve Alford and
company.
Who’s
In: The backcourt
gets a nice boost with the addition of Demetrius Walker, Hugh Greenwood,
Dominique Dunning and Kory Alford. Walker and Greenwood are the two who are
expected to make an immediate impact. Walker, a transfer from Arizona State, had
a decent freshman campaign with the Sun Devils before transferring to UNM. After
sitting out last season, the prep star is ready for a fresh start and to make a
big splash in the Mountain West. Greenwood is from the famed Australian
Institute of Sport and is a superb shooter who can fill up the scoring column in
a hurry. At 6-3, he has the size to finish around the basket and if he does not
find a spot in the starting lineup, Greenwood will make a great sixth man who
can provide instant offense off of the bench.
Who to Watch:
Replacing Gary is the big
issue, but the Lobos have multiple options. Kendall Williams is coming off of a
great freshman campaign in which he averaged 11.6 points, 4.0 assists and 1.4
steals. Williams is more known for his three-point shooting ability than his
passing ability, but he is certainly a capable ball handler. The other option is
Jamal Fenton, a 5-9 junior who averaged 5.4 points and 1.9 assists in limited
action last year. Fenton may be a better creator with the ball in his hands, but
it may be difficult for him to find too many minutes with so much talent on the
perimeter. But if Coach Alford needs a true point guard, he may have to make
room for Fenton. Phillip McDonald should step back into a starting role as well.
The 6-5 senior provides New Mexico with a bigger guard who can shoot and help
out on the glass. Chad Adams, after serving a short suspension, and Tony Snell
will provide depth on the wing.
Final Projection:
A.J. Hardeman spent most of
last season starting beside Gordon. The 6-8 senior is an experienced player who
can do plenty of scoring in the paint and help out on the glass. Having a
quality player like Hardeman in the frontcourt takes a lot of pressure off of
Gordon. Even if Gordon is struggling, Hardeman can step in and score. Alex Kirk
started 21 games last season and played very well for a freshman. The 6-11, 242
pound center is an interesting prospect who can step outside and hit the long
ball, but not forget about his rebounding duties on either end of the floor. He
will likely provide depth off of the bench this season, but his starting
experience from last year should have Kirk ready to make a big jump in
production if he can overcome an offseason injury. With players like Cameron
Bairstow adding even more frontcourt depth, few teams in the conference will be
able to match the big men of New Mexico. As long as the guards play under
control and remember to feed the talented forwards, this is a team that can do a
lot more than just make the NCAA Tournament.
Projected Postseason
Tournament: NCAA
Projected Starting
Five: Kendall
Williams, Sophomore, Guard, 11.6 points per game Demetrius Walker, Sophomore, Guard, DNP last
season Phillip McDonald,
Senior, Guard, 10.9 points per game A.J. Hardeman, Senior, Forward, 7.6 points
per game Drew Gordon,
Senior, Forward, 13.0 points per game
San Diego State Aztecs
2010-11: 34-3, 14-2 2010-11 postseason: NCAA Coach: Steve Fisher (232-152 at San Diego State, 416-234 overall)
Everything
came together nicely last year for San Diego State to make an NCAA
Tournament run. The expectations started high and the Aztecs lived up
to them, reaching the Sweet Sixteen before falling to eventual National
Champions Connecticut. The expectations are a lot lower this year, but
this is not a team that is going to fall off the map. There is just a
little rebuilding to be done and Coach Steve Fisher nabbed some
newcomers who are ready to replace the vast amounts of talent the team
lost.
Who’s Out: Kawhi
Leonard is the obvious big name that is departing Montezuma Mesa. He
split early after averaging 15.5 points and 10.6 rebounds during the
Aztecs 34-3 campaign. However, he is not the only loss. This team would
still be good without Leonard, but they also lose starters Malcolm
Thomas, Billy White and D.J. Gay, all who averaged at least ten points
per contest. Thomas and White were the big guys in the paint who opened
up space for Leonard. Gay was the efficient point guard who dished out
3.1 assists per game and averaged a mere 1.3 turnovers. Mehdi Cheriet,
who saw limited action in 2010-2011, has also run out of eligibility
and with a very limited amount of players returning, the Aztecs could
use every body they can get.
Who’s In: Looking
for a great group of incoming freshmen? You are looking in the wrong
place. Coach Fisher has added, thus far, just three new faces to the
team and all have major college experience. Garrett Green is the big
name. The 6-11 senior will be immediately eligible after graduating
from LSU with a year of eligibility remaining. For the Tigers last
season he averaged 6.3 points and 5.1 rebounds in a reserve role. Due
to a lack of other options, he will not be in a reserve role for the
Aztecs. Deshawn Stephens, a junior college transfer, will be asked to
play plenty of minutes as well. His experience is very nice for a
frontcourt that returns very few experienced players. The backcourt
gains Xavier Thames, a transfer from Washington State. Two years ago as
a freshman Thames averaged 4.6 points and 1.5 rebounds for the Cougars
and should be able to step into a larger role sooner or later for San
Diego State.
Who to Watch: Chase
Tapley and James Rahon, the fifth and sixth leading scorers from last
year, give the Aztecs a nice duo in the backcourt to work with. The
problem is neither are really point guards. Tapley, a 6-2 junior, is
mostly a shooter, but he did develop a better all-around game last
season as San Diego State’s fifth starter. He is the likely candidate
to spend some time at the point if necessary. Rahon has the size to
play on the wing, but most of his shots came from long range. He will
need to start using his 6-5 frame to attack the basket and, more
importantly, hit the glass. Otherwise this is going to be a very
undersized team at times. LaBradford Franklin did not see much action
during his freshman campaign, but he is the one player who could turn
into the point guard this team needs. Whether he starts or not, he will
need to at least be a capable backup point guard. Jamaal Franklin
should see some playing time off of the bench on the wings again this
year.
Final Projection: It
is possible the frontcourt will return practically nobody. Tim Shelton
is a talented forward, but he has not been able to stay healthy. He
played in 31 games last year, but averaged a mere 1.6 points and 1.5
rebounds. He has all the tools and experience to be a fine power
forward, but his minutes will likely be cut into by the new guys pretty
quickly. Getting Brian Carlwell back for a sixth year would be very
beneficial. He is not much of a scorer, but he is great on the glass
and would be the team’s best shot blocking threat. At the least he
would provide another big body. However, his status is still up in the
air. This is a team that may have to play small at times, but the
forwards are generally good athletes who can get up and down the floor,
so that may not be a huge problem. Either way, this is not a Sweet
Sixteen team, but they may not drop as far as many would expect after
losing their top four scorers.
Projected Postseason Tournament: NIT
Projected Starting Five: Chase Tapley, Junior, Guard, 8.6 points per game Xavier Thames, Junior, Guard, DNP last season James Rahon, Junior, Guard, 7.0 points per game Tim Shelton, Senior, Forward, 1.6 points per game Garrett Green, Senior, Forward, DNP last season xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx UNLV Runnin’ Rebels
Overall Rank: #37 Conference Rank: #2 Mountain West
Former
UNLV coach Lon Kruger got an offer at Oklahoma that he could not
refuse. And Kruger did what he was going to do with the Runnin’ Rebels
and it was time for him to look for the next project. Coach Dave Rice
steps into a great situation on a team that has a slew of talent
returning from a tournament squad. Coach Rice has brought together a
great staff and did not have to do too much work on the recruiting
trail for his first season with hardly any turnover on the roster. This
is a team that just made the NCAA Tournament last year. This year they
will try and win a game or two.
Who’s Out: UNLV
is not without some big losses, most notably Tre’Von Willis and Derrick
Jasper. Willis led the Rebels with 13.2 points per game last season and
added 3.6 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 1.6 steals. Willis was not a great
shooter, but he was a dynamic scorer who could score in bunches and
help out the team in a variety of other ways. Jasper started 21 games
during the 2010-2011 campaign, averaging 5.1 points, 4.2 rebounds and
1.8 assists. The depth on the perimeter would seem to be an issue
without those two, but that is not the case and Coach Rice will have
plenty of options in trying to replace the lost production.
Who’s In: Reggie
Smith will be one of the players asked to fill that void once he is
eligible following the fall semester. The 6-0 transfer from Marquette
will not even need to be ready right away with the talent on the
perimeter, but he will force himself into the mix at the point and
should see quality minutes. The bigger name is Mike Moser. The former
Bruin should step right into the starting power forward spot after
sitting out last season. Two years ago Moser spent most of his time on
the UCLA bench, but he was highly regarded coming out of high school
and the Bruins would like to have him around. Moser has nice size at
6-8, but he plays bigger than that. He has a huge wingspan and will be
a force on the glass.
Who to Watch: Oscar
Bellfield and Anthony Marshall are a couple fine distributors who can
score too. Bellfield ran the point for three seasons, but he will
likely spend more time off the ball this year. That is in part due to
his ability to score, but also because Marshall has proven to do a
better job of taking care of the ball. The addition of Smith, in
December, should allow Bellfield to spend all of his time off of the
ball if that is what Coach Rice wants to do. Bellfield averaged 11.2
points per game last season and knocked down two three-pointers per
contest. He could turn into a superb scorer now that he does not have
to worry about passing quite as much. Marshall is no slouch in the
scoring department either. He totaled 9.7 points per game as a
sophomore and added 3.0 assists and 4.0 rebounds. Those two will create
and make a ton of shots for UNLV. The return of Kendall Wallace, who
missed all of last season with an injury, adds quality depth on the
wing. Wallace is a good shooter and has enough size to attack the
basket. Chace Stanback will join Bellfield and Marshall in the starting
backcourt. The 6-8 wing is difficult to defend because of his size and
ability to shoot the ball. He did get in some trouble over the summer
and Coach Rice has some disciplinary decisions to make. However,
Stanback will probably not miss too much time. Justin Hawkins averaged
nearly 20 minutes per game last season, but he will have to fight
pretty hard for more minutes this season.
Final Projection: Coach
Kruger pretty much ran a three man rotation at center with Quintrell
Thomas, Carlos Lopez and Brice Massamba. With Moser playing by their
side and Stanback sliding down to his natural three spot, the
frontcourt should be more productive this time around. Thomas proved to
be the most constructive of the three big guys, averaging 6.7 points
and 5.2 rebounds during just a little more than 15 minutes per contest.
Lopez is the best shot blocker of the bunch and Massamba is the biggest
body of the bunch at 6-10 and 240 pounds. Thomas may emerge as the
starter and play a few more minutes, but Lopez and Massamba will still
play an important role on this team. With a loaded backcourt, the
frontcourt will be key as Coach Rice tries to make an immediate splash
on the national stage. If Moser lives up to his potential and Thomas,
or one of the other big men, can emerge as a consistent threat, this
team will run most Mountain West opponents out of the gym.
Projected Postseason Tournament: NCAA
Projected Starting Five: Anthony Marshall, Junior, Guard, 9.7 points per game Oscar Bellfield, Senior, Guard, 11.2 points per game Chace Stanback, Senior, Guard, 13.0 points per game Mike Moser, Sophomore, Forward, DNP last season Quintrell Thomas, Junior, Forward, 6.7 points per game xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
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